2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Trump/Pence vs. Biden/Harris

Who is the best choice for President of the United States in 2020?


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Harvey Danger

getting tired of this whole internet thing
True & Honest Fan
kiwifarms.net
Florida becoming redder than Arizona? Who would have thought it was possible?
2-3 months ago, I would have believed it.

Now, my concern is about Covid refugees. There's stories of NYC residents fleeing the city and settling outside of the state, specifically in FL. The state always gets a big share of New Yorkers, which is why I highlighted that Biden event earlier today.

Screenshot 2020-09-15 at 6.32.48 PM.png


You don't run something that specific without knowing about a trend, or having a plan for a niche.

There's other big city refugees as well, of course, and they might be settling in other states like TX or the Carolinas. I have zero faith they're flipping to red voters within a few months of leaving blue strongholds. So I want to see what's going on with transplants first, before I can analyze whether this is a red year or purple year for Florida.

Maybe they're only a fraction of 1% percent of the electorate, but 2020 is a year when all paranoia is justified.
 

GuntPunt

Hard earned puzzle-pieces.
kiwifarms.net
I know. I never thought I would have a prediction map where Arizona would turn blue but Florida turns red. Of all of the states with 20%+ Hispanic population, Florida has the best shot of remaining a purple or light red state because of its Cuban population that is swinging back to the Republicans. Getting half of the Hispanic vote, not just Cubans, would keep the state competitive for the GOP even with the incoming realignment.

Even if Arizona stays red this election, the fact Kelly is virtually guaranteed to be in the Senate shows that the state will be the next to turn blue. The state faces problems with mass immigration who predominantly vote Democratic so even if second-generation and onward Hispanics are purple voters like some suggest, it won't be enough to keep the state red. From then, Texas will be the Democrats' next target but it has a better chance because of stricter ID laws.
So the race is now 5 states: AZ, MN, WI, MI and PA. In order for Biden to win, he needs to win 4 of them or one has to be Pennsylvania and 2 more. Keep in mind that Biden also has to hold NH, where Baris states Trump is up and he lost by 3000 votes.

Trump is taking the same amount of Democrat crossover vote as 2016 (12%) while there is an increase in voter registration trends and doing 20% with blacks in PA. He is apparently also doing better in Philly and the black vote is set to be down. They need a lot of fraud to flip it back.

I really want to see their justification for AZ other than "not yet." Maybe next Monday they'll talk about it. Doucey was up for reelection in AZ for governor and won comfortably with 56% so I wonder if they will split the ticket and vote for Trump and not the R senator. We shall see.

Also wonder about his concern in Wisconsin. He is purely focusing on PA and MN because they are the most likely to go Trump, but I want to see a thourough explanation on why. Same, but lesser extent for Michigan. Wonder why he was so suprised that it was extremely close there.

Overall, Biden needs a near straight flush to win. Will he get it? Who knows, but for certain that this shit is essentially neck and neck again makes me question a few things. Mostly, how would a vaccine affect the race and what other bullshit will they come up with in October for the suprise?
 

GuntPunt

Hard earned puzzle-pieces.
kiwifarms.net
2-3 months ago, I would have believed it.

Now, my concern is about Covid refugees. There's stories of NYC residents fleeing the city and settling outside of the state, specifically in FL. The state always gets a big share of New Yorkers, which is why I highlighted that Biden event earlier today.

View attachment 1599550

You don't run something that specific without knowing about a trend, or having a plan for a niche.

There's other big city refugees as well, of course, and they might be settling in other states like TX or the Carolinas. I have zero faith they're flipping to red voters within a few months of leaving blue strongholds. So I want to see what's going on with transplants first, before I can analyze whether this is a red year or purple year for Florida.

Maybe they're only a fraction of 1% percent of the electorate, but 2020 is a year when all paranoia is justified.
Sorry for the double post, but I found the answer.

In order for you to become an official Florida resident, you need a Declaration of Domicile, which can only be applied after you live 183 days (or half a year) within the state. Also keep in mind that you need to register 29 days before the election to be eligible to vote. Add them up, and 212 days before November 3rd is on April 5th. I wouldn't worry too much about the New York transplants yet, especially since you 100% need a voter ID in Florida to vote.

EDIT: Also keep in mind approval times taking days to weeks, forgetting to do it, and other factors that may increase the time and make it longer.

EDIT 2: Its actually a "rigorous" process to get that Domicile shit. You need multiple pieces of proof over your extended stay in Florida to actually get it. And it states that plane tickets aren't sufficient enough because you could've gone someplace else. They recommend a detailed log for clarity. Holy shit.
 
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MrJokerRager

I like me some nice big boobs
kiwifarms.net
Was watching Trump's labor day speech today . I was surprised at one other thing he said which was that he believed Copamala will never be president and then walked back his words by stating that he remembered Obama said the same thing about him.

The man has a high degree of self awareness as he didn't want to tempt fate lol. He really is way smarter than the shitlibs want to believe in. Will be interesting now how he tackles Joe Biden.
 

Harvey Danger

getting tired of this whole internet thing
True & Honest Fan
kiwifarms.net
Sorry for the double post, but I found the answer.

In order for you to become an official Florida resident, you need a Declaration of Domicile, which can only be applied after you live 183 days (or half a year) within the state. Also keep in mind that you need to register 29 days before the election to be eligible to vote. Add them up, and 212 days before November 3rd is on April 5th. I wouldn't worry too much about the New York transplants yet, especially since you 100% need a voter ID in Florida to vote.

EDIT: Also keep in mind approval times taking days to weeks, forgetting to do it, and other factors that may increase the time and make it longer.
That got me to poke around a bit too.

The requirements on the election site FAQ only say "be a resident".
Screenshot 2020-09-16 at 3.20.19 AM.png
Screenshot 2020-09-16 at 3.19.26 AM.png

Which is fine, except I clicked through the registration site and started a new application, and I can't see anywhere that says you need that Declaration of Domicile. It only wants a Driver's License.

Screenshot 2020-09-16 at 3.17.57 AM.png

Checked the site for getting a new FL license. It also has the 6 month requirement, however there are other ways to establish residency. The list of documentation needed to establish residency can be as simple as a utility bill; they care more about establishing the location rather than the length of residence.

Screenshot 2020-09-16 at 3.24.01 AM.pngScreenshot 2020-09-16 at 3.27.18 AM.png

TL;DR You could get enough together to start a voter registration within a 30 day billing cycle of moving to FL, if you have a job and a home address. But it would require you to be motivated enough to start the whole process by now. I don't know if the election officials would actually investigate and vet your residency, or just let you get on the rolls to be safe.

So, maybe not a big factor in 2020. But it's still a longer term trend to keep an eye on.
 

UselessIdiot

Time Waits For No Ma'am
kiwifarms.net
2-3 months ago, I would have believed it.

Now, my concern is about Covid refugees. There's stories of NYC residents fleeing the city and settling outside of the state, specifically in FL. The state always gets a big share of New Yorkers, which is why I highlighted that Biden event earlier today.

View attachment 1599550

You don't run something that specific without knowing about a trend, or having a plan for a niche.

There's other big city refugees as well, of course, and they might be settling in other states like TX or the Carolinas. I have zero faith they're flipping to red voters within a few months of leaving blue strongholds. So I want to see what's going on with transplants first, before I can analyze whether this is a red year or purple year for Florida.

Maybe they're only a fraction of 1% percent of the electorate, but 2020 is a year when all paranoia is justified.
Fucking locusts, I swear.
 

Tathagata

He who has thus come/gone
kiwifarms.net
Ya'll are making too much of the New York -> Florida connection. That's been a standard trope as long as I've been alive. This isn't anything special or new, it's just, at the very most, an increase in the flow of residents. But that flow has always existed. Plus the NY types that come to FL much of the time are NY secular Jews. That's peak DNC donor material (hence the event). They're not as bad as California secular Jews, but they still are more frigid than the average person re Trump.

Though who knows with the Iran stuff. Synagogues in FL were having academic discussions about why the Iran deal was so terrible (during the Obama presidency) which were fairly well populated by the congregations. The media class might have attempted to erase all of that from the average upper-middle class Jewish voter's mind, and it certainly doesn't help that it tends so often to be a (((media class))), but it's hard to erase everything involving good news for Israel down here.
 

CrippleThreat

At least my third leg is still working.
kiwifarms.net
The media class might have attempted to erase all of that from the average upper-middle class Jewish voter's mind, and it certainly doesn't help that it tends so often to be a (((media class))), but it's hard to erase everything involving good news for Israel down here.
Besides, I figure just as the boomers, the Jews would be the type of people to sit down and look at the news.

One-Hundred-Twenty-Five Amazing Accomplishments of President Donald J. Trump
(archive)
  1. Trump recently signed three bills to benefit Native people. One gives compensation to the Spokane tribe for loss of their lands in the mid-1900s, one funds Native language programs, and the third gives federal recognition to the Little Shell Tribe of Chippewa Indians in Montana.
  2. Trump finalized the creation of Space Force as our 6th Military branch.
  3. Trump signed a law to make cruelty to animals a federal felony so that animal abusers face tougher consequences.
  4. Violent crime has fallen every year he’s been in office after rising during the two years before he was elected.
  5. Trump signed a bill making CBD and Hemp legal.
  6. Trump’s EPA gave $100 million to fix the water infrastructure problem in Flint, Michigan.
  7. Under Trump’s leadership, in 2018 the U.S. surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia to become the world’s largest producer of crude oil.
  8. Trump signed a law ending the gag orders on pharmacists that prevented them from sharing money-saving information.
  9. Trump signed the “Allow States and Victims to Fight Online Sex Trafficking Act” (FOSTA), which includes the “Stop Enabling Sex Traffickers Act” (SESTA) which both give law enforcement and victims new tools to fight sex trafficking.
  10. Trump signed a bill to require airports to provide spaces for breastfeeding moms.
  11. The 25% lowest-paid Americans enjoyed a 4.5% income boost in November 2019, which outpaces a 2.9% gain in earnings for the country’s highest-paid workers.
  12. Low-wage workers are benefiting from higher minimum wages and from corporations that are increasing entry-level pay.
  13. Trump signed the biggest wilderness protection & conservation bill in a decade and designated 375,000 acres as protected land.
  14. Trump signed the Save our Seas Act which funds $10 million per year to clean tons of plastic & garbage from the ocean.
  15. He signed a bill this year allowing some drug imports from Canada so that prescription prices would go down.
  16. Trump signed an executive order this year that forces all healthcare providers to disclose the cost of their services so that Americans can comparison shop and know how much less providers charge insurance companies.
  17. When signing that bill he said no American should be blindsided by bills for medical services they never agreed to in advance.
  18. Hospitals will now be required to post their standard charges for services, which include the discounted price a hospital is willing to accept.
  19. In the eight years prior to President Trump’s inauguration, prescription drug prices increased by an average of 3.6% per year. Under Trump, drug prices have seen year-over-year declines in nine of the last ten months, with a 1.1% drop as of the most recent month.
  20. He created a White House VA Hotline to help veterans and principally staffed it with veterans and direct family members of veterans.
  21. VA employees are being held accountable for poor performance, with more than 4,000 VA employees removed, demoted, and suspended so far.
  22. Issued an executive order requiring the Secretaries of Defense, Homeland Security, and Veterans Affairs to submit a joint plan to provide veterans access to access to mental health treatment as they transition to civilian life.
  23. Because of a bill signed and championed by Trump, in 2020, most federal employees will see their pay increase by an average of 3.1% — the largest raise in more than 10 years.
  24. Trump signed into a law up to 12 weeks of paid parental leave for millions of federal workers.
  25. Trump administration will provide HIV prevention drugs for free to 200,000 uninsured patients per year for 11 years.
  26. All-time record sales during the 2019 holidays.
  27. Trump signed an order allowing small businesses to group together when buying insurance to get a better price.
  28. President Trump signed the Preventing Maternal Deaths Act that provides funding for states to develop maternal mortality reviews to better understand maternal complications and identify solutions & largely focuses on reducing the higher mortality rates for Black Americans.
  29. In 2018, President Trump signed the groundbreaking First Step Act, a criminal justice bill which enacted reforms that make our justice system fairer and help former inmates successfully return to society.
  30. The First Step Act’s reforms addressed inequities in sentencing laws that disproportionately harmed Black Americans and reformed mandatory minimums that created unfair outcomes.
  31. The First Step Act expanded judicial discretion in sentencing of non-violent crimes.
  32. Over 90% of those benefiting from the retroactive sentencing reductions in the First Step Act are Black Americans.
  33. The First Step Act provides rehabilitative programs to inmates, helping them successfully rejoin society and not return to crime.
  34. Trump increased funding for historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs) by more than 14%.
  35. Trump signed legislation forgiving Hurricane Katrina debt that threatened HBCUs.
  36. New single-family home sales are up 31.6% in October 2019 compared to just one year ago.
  37. Made HBCUs a priority by creating the position of executive director of the White House Initiative on HBCUs.
  38. Trump received the Bipartisan Justice Award at a historically black college for his criminal justice reform accomplishments.
  39. The poverty rate fell to a 17-year low of 11.8% under the Trump administration as a result of a jobs-rich environment.
  40. Poverty rates for African-Americans and Hispanic-Americans have reached their lowest levels since the U.S. began collecting such data.
  41. President Trump signed a bill that creates five national monuments, expands several national parks, adds 1.3 million acres of wilderness, and permanently reauthorizes the Land and Water Conservation Fund.
  42. Trump’s USDA committed $124 Million to rebuild rural water infrastructure.
  43. [Prior to the unexpected coronavirus pandemic] Consumer confidence & small business confidence is at an all time high.
  44. [Prior to the unexpected coronavirus pandemic] More than 7 million jobs created since election.
  45. [Prior to the unexpected coronavirus pandemic] More Americans were employed than ever recorded before in our history.
  46. More than 400,000 manufacturing jobs created since his election.
  47. Trump appointed five openly gay ambassadors.
  48. Trump ordered Ric Grenell, his openly gay ambassador to Germany, to lead a global initiative to decriminalize homosexuality across the globe.
  49. Through Trump’s Anti-Trafficking Coordination Team (ACTeam) initiative, Federal law enforcement more than doubled convictions of human traffickers and increased the number of defendants charged by 75% in ACTeam districts.
  50. In 2018, the Department of Justice (DOJ) dismantled an organization that was the internet’s leading source of prostitution-related advertisements resulting in sex trafficking.
  51. Trump’s OMB published new anti-trafficking guidance for government procurement officials to more effectively combat human trafficking.
  52. Trump’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s Homeland Security Investigations arrested 1,588 criminals associated with Human Trafficking.
  53. Trump’s Department of Health and Human Services provided funding to support the National Human Trafficking Hotline to identify perpetrators and give victims the help they need.
  54. The hotline identified 16,862 potential human trafficking cases.
  55. Trump’s DOJ provided grants to organizations that support human trafficking victims – serving nearly 9,000 cases from July 1, 2017, to June 30, 2018.
  56. The Department of Homeland Security has hired more victim assistance specialists, helping victims get resources and support.
  57. President Trump has called on Congress to pass school choice legislation so that no child is trapped in a failing school because of his or her zip code.
  58. The President signed funding legislation in September 2018 that increased funding for school choice by $42 million.
  59. The tax cuts signed into law by President Trump promote school choice by allowing families to use 529 college savings plans for elementary and secondary education.
  60. Under his leadership ISIS has lost most of their territory and been largely dismantled.
  61. ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi was killed.
  62. Signed the first Perkins CTE reauthorization since 2006, authorizing more than $1 billion for states each year to fund vocational and career education programs.
  63. Executive order expanding apprenticeship opportunities for students and workers.
  64. Trump issued an Executive Order prohibiting the U.S. government from discriminating against Christians or punishing expressions of faith.
  65. Signed an executive order that allows the government to withhold money from college campuses deemed to be anti-Semitic and who fail to combat anti-Semitism.
  66. President Trump ordered a halt to U.S. tax money going to international organizations that fund or perform abortions.
  67. Trump imposed sanctions on the socialists in Venezuela who have killed their citizens.
  68. Finalized new trade agreement with South Korea.
  69. Made a deal with the European Union to increase U.S. energy exports to Europe.
  70. Withdrew the U.S. from the job killing TPP deal.
  71. Secured $250 billion in new trade and investment deals in China and $12 billion in Vietnam.
  72. Okay’d up to $12 billion in aid for farmers affected by unfair trade retaliation.
  73. Has had over a dozen US hostages freed, including those Obama could not get freed.
  74. Trump signed the Music Modernization Act, the biggest change to copyright law in decades.
  75. Trump secured billions that will fund the building of a wall at our southern border.
  76. The Trump Administration is promoting second chance hiring to give former inmates the opportunity to live crime-free lives and find meaningful employment.
  77. Trump’s DOJ and the Board Of Prisons launched a new “Ready to Work Initiative” to help connect employers directly with former prisoners.
  78. President Trump’s historic tax cut legislation included new Opportunity Zone Incentives to promote investment in low-income communities across the country.
  79. 8,764 communities across the country have been designated as Opportunity Zones.
  80. Opportunity Zones are expected to spur $100 billion in long-term private capital investment in economically distressed communities across the country.
  81. Trump directed the Education Secretary to end Common Core.
  82. Trump signed the 9/11 Victims Compensation Fund into law.
  83. Trump signed measure funding prevention programs for Veteran suicide.
  84. Companies have brought back over a TRILLION dollars from overseas because of the TCJA bill that Trump signed.
  85. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] manufacturing jobs were growing at the fastest rate in more than 30 years.
  86. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] the stock market reached record highs.
  87. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] Median household income hit highest level ever recorded.
  88. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] African-American unemployment is at an all time low.
  89. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] Hispanic-American unemployment is at an all time low.
  90. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] Asian-American unemployment is at an all time low.
  91. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] women’s unemployment rate was at a 65-year low.
  92. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] Youth unemployment is at a 50-year low.
  93. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] We had the lowest unemployment rate ever recorded.
  94. The Pledge to America’s Workers has resulted in employers committing to train more than 4 million Americans.
  95. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] 95 percent of U.S. manufacturers are optimistic about the future— the highest ever.
  96. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] As a result of the Republican tax bill, small businesses will have the lowest top marginal tax rate in more than 80 years.
  97. Record number of regulations eliminated that hurt small businesses.
  98. Signed welfare reform requiring able-bodied adults who don’t have children to work or look for work if they’re on welfare.
  99. Under Trump, the FDA approved more affordable generic drugs than ever before in history.
  100. Reformed Medicare program to stop hospitals from overcharging low-income seniors on their drugs—saving seniors 100’s of millions of $$$ this year alone.
  101. Signed Right-To-Try legislation allowing terminally ill patients to try experimental treatment that wasn’t allowed before.
  102. Secured $6 billion in new funding to fight the opioid epidemic.
  103. Signed VA Choice Act and VA Accountability Act, expanded VA telehealth services, walk-in-clinics, and same-day urgent primary and mental health care.
  104. U.S. oil production recently reached all-time high so we are less dependent on oil from the Middle East.
  105. The U.S. is a net natural gas exporter for the first time since 1957.
  106. NATO allies increased their defense spending because of his pressure campaign.
  107. Withdrew the United States from the job-killing Paris Climate Accord in 2017 and that same year the U.S. still led the world by having the largest reduction in Carbon emissions.
  108. Has his circuit court judge nominees being confirmed faster than any other new administration.
  109. Had his Supreme Court Justice’s Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh confirmed.
  110. Moved U.S. Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.
  111. Agreed to a new trade deal with Mexico & Canada that will increase jobs here and $$$ coming in.
  112. Reached a breakthrough agreement with the E.U. to increase U.S. exports.
  113. Imposed tariffs on China in response to China’s forced technology transfer, intellectual property theft, and their chronically abusive trade practices, has agreed to a Part One trade deal with China.
  114. Signed legislation to improve the National Suicide Hotline.
  115. Signed the most comprehensive childhood cancer legislation ever into law, which will advance childhood cancer research and improve treatments.
  116. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act signed into law by Trump doubled the maximum amount of the child tax credit available to parents and lifted the income limits so more people could claim it.
  117. It also created a new tax credit for other dependents.
  118. In 2018, President Trump signed into law a $2.4 billion funding increase for the Child Care and Development Fund, providing a total of $8.1 billion to States to fund child care for low-income families.
  119. The Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC) signed into law by Trump provides a tax credit equal to 20-35% of child care expenses, $3,000 per child & $6,000 per family + Flexible Spending Accounts (FSAs) allow you to set aside up to $5,000 in pre-tax $ to use for child care.
  120. In 2019 President Donald Trump signed the Autism Collaboration, Accountability, Research, Education and Support Act (CARES) into law which allocates $1.8 billion in funding over the next five years to help people with autism spectrum disorder and to help their families.
  121. In 2019 President Trump signed into law two funding packages providing nearly $19 million in new funding for Lupus specific research and education programs, as well an additional $41.7 billion in funding for the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the most Lupus funding EVER.
  122. Another upcoming accomplishment to add: In the next week or two Trump will be signing the first major anti-robocall law in decades called the TRACED Act (Telephone Robocall Abuse Criminal Enforcement and Deterrence.) Once it’s the law, the TRACED Act will extend the period of time the FCC has to catch & punish those who intentionally break telemarketing restrictions. The bill also requires voice service providers to develop a framework to verify calls are legitimate before they reach your phone.
  123. [Prior to the coronavirus pandemic] US stock market continually hit all-time record highs.
  124. Because so many people asked for a document with all of this listed in one place, here it is. No links provided to remove bias as Google search is easy. Print this out for family, friends, neighbors, etc. I encourage you to drop this list off to voters before the 2020 election too!
  125. Trump did all of this while fighting flagrant abuse and impeachment charges.
All in 4 years. compared to Joe's almost half-century, but Biden is going to landslide anyway because TDS so strong, social media would see double if Hitler and Trump were on opposite ends of the same room.
 

It's HK-47

Meatbag's Bounty of Bodies
Local Moderator
True & Honest Fan
kiwifarms.net
If they flag this as manipulated media as well, I don't think my sides will be able to take it.
They're just going to nuke this guy's account, I can all but guarantee it. Any time that Trump retweets someone like this, a few days later their entire account just gets shut down. I don't even know why they bother because it's clearly not stopping people from making these sorts of videos, but if it makes them feel like they're winning, good for them I guess.
 

GuntPunt

Hard earned puzzle-pieces.
kiwifarms.net
On approval ratings, what was Trump's after
I can't take this clown seriously.
View attachment 1600725
Translation: "Its good to see Biden up so high. We are going to win this time."

This smug faggot strongarmed the polling industry into following his methodology and the methodology of "highly rated pollsters." This has caused pollsters like Rasmussen and Trafalger to lose business because they don't follow the Silver standard. "No, you are biased in the wrong way, so you are condemned to Pollster hell." Guy has never polled in his life and he is rating other pollsters on their job when he doesn't know anything behind voting trends, geographical data, or anything at all besides "BIG NUMBERS PLUG INTO EXCEL OOO BIDEN WIN." He acts high and mighty when he is totally in the dark. Fuck him and his horrific hairline.

Give me them tophats.
 
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