9/4/2018 - John Flynt crushed at the polls

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Peace and Harmony

✨ you're the sparkle of my life ✨
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Final result: (archive)

One district failed to get its shit together overnight which accounts for the missing 5 precincts, but otherwise that's it.

results.jpg


John concedes the race about as gracefully as he dresses.

lose.jpg


@W person cow gives a brief analysis of the results, with apparently more details forthcoming:

Actually some lady kiwifarmer did out themselves, and I rescinded the endorsement just like I said I would.
****
By the way, I would like to thank the Academy for Brianna's current 24% of votes.
The "anti-Lynch vote" is 18%
5% voted for Voehl. 18-5=13
so Wu got 24%. 13 were the automatic "anti lynch vote".
The other 9% were either my campaigning, or Wu's. Considering we all know who did more work, I would say that means I got her...
a bump of 9%. In other words I increased her vote totals by about 70%, getting her about 5,000 extra votes.
While being paid shit money. Doh!
But also, you're welcome :) :)
And all you jokers who thought she couldn't crack 10%, nyah nyah!
And it didn't give her control of the FBI either. Lynch still got 70%
I'm excited to see what I can do for an ACTUAL progressive next time! Although they will have to ACTUALLY pay me on time, this time lol.
Cheers to all your fun Kiwi jokes and memes :)

And of course this fucking tranny is immediately running again in 2020 so here we fucking go all over again, see you at the finish line you fucking faggots.
 
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Jack Awful

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I like how John keeps acting like Lynch is a horribly corrupt high-up politician instead of a standard, nothing special, local one. I guess any politician who'd dare get in the way of his crusade against Drumpf might as well be a fascist to him.
Either way, the better man won.

Also, Tweeting your obnoxious concession speech that doesn't even congratulate the candidate that beat you sounds like something Trump would have done if he lost.
Just saying.
 

kcbbq

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Weird candidates get a lot more votes in primaries than a sane person would expect, because only fanatics really vote in primaries.
 

RodgerDodger

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What's the odds Brianna moves areas again because it's two whole years of "gamergate got muh address"

Almost guaranteed. It’s classic Wu. Johnny will select some new prime target to carpetbag. The hilarity is he is so bad at it. He attempted to ride some perceived Progressive discontent with Lynch into a challenge. But even a cursory view of the landscape shows that as folly. The deep Progressive wing of the Dem’s are about 20-25%. Similar the the Christian Right wing of the GOP. They can influence elections, but not overpower them wholesale like they think. They shriek louder than their actual base can support. The shocking Progressive Dem Socialist victories this year have all had a few elements in common. A very old barnacle of an incumbent. An incumbent so long in DC that they reflected the neighborhood from generations prior. Who’s core base was now geriatric. An candidate who could not command much enthusiasm beyond name recognition, and who even the centrists could agree “maybe it’s time fo someone new”. Lynch was none of those things. Which meant that any challenger would be limited to that 20-25% ceiling, unless turnout was heavily suppressed. And this is the core calculus before you factor in the extra special snowflake that is John Walker Flynt. I still can’t fathom the mental math that prompted Frank and Wu to move to this district to run?

Wu will choose a different target next time. I’m also betting that Wu will seek to up the Oppresion ante by running trans. Of course this being Wu, it will be a year or so after the bloom has faded from the “transtrender” rose and the public has grown sick of the raving troonatics. John’s Ability to measure cultural zeitgeist is forever stuck in the 90’s.
 

Francis York Morgan

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Weird candidates get a lot more votes in primaries than a sane person would expect, because only fanatics really vote in primaries.
As someone pointed out in the main topic, Wu's percentage is right along the percentage "Other" essentially got in the last race where Lynch ran unopposed. So he basically didn't draw shit outside of the diehards like Warren who'll vote for anything other than Lynch.

That roaming 20-25% of voters who will go for anything but the incumbent is something that he could have properly engaged and mobilized. But John is a dipshit and only managed to further piss off everyone.
 

thejackal

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And it's all thanks to @W person cow
Seriously, I doubt Wu would have gotten 5% without Warren hoofing it on the streets like the hardworking person he is.
Good job. You put more care and love into Wu's campaign than Wu did.

Usually it's accepted that 1/10 voters that is personally visited by a canvasser will pull the lever for that candidate that they otherwise wouldn't have, either because they wouldn't vote or would vote for someone else. For every 100 doors that Warren personally knocked on he netted Wu about 10 votes.

So much salt on the Farms today over Wu's 20 odd percent in a PRIMARY. Come on new political fags we have here, you gotta learn the basics of electoral political in the US. As has been noted, there are probably about 1/4 of all voters in the district that hate Lynch and would vote for a turnip on the ballot instead. There is quite a bit of overlap with the "progressive" wing of the Dems among this group and the other longshot guy didn't court those votes at all.

Furthermore, voters vote all the time, even well informed ones in primaries, on heuristics -- for Wu that's proably just her name -- Brianna Wu -- who many voters probably associated with a progressive 1st or 2nd generation Asian-American woman candidate.

Furthermore, Lynch put about zero effort into this race. In the political world that is referred to as "keeping your powder dry" and basically it just means you don't piss anybody off (like by actually running attack ads) when you don't have to. Why would Lynch alienate progressive types unnecessarily when he was always going to get 60-70% in a 3 way race?

To really put a scare into Lynch Wu would need to start building bridges and doing community building TODAY. You know she's not going to do that.

This was always the only scenario. You can't fake run a campaign. You gotta really pound the pavement. Warren knows that. Maybe Wu realized it to.
 

RodgerDodger

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And it's all thanks to @W person cow
Seriously, I doubt Wu would have gotten 5% without Warren hoofing it on the streets like the hardworking person he is.
Good job. You put more care and love into Wu's campaign than Wu did.

One of the truisms is an incumbent facing a Primary of any sort tops out between 70-80%. There is always a hard ceiling of 20%’ish contrarian or protest votes. It’s just the nature of the beast. You can’t please everybody. You could run a dead communist or a convicted serial killer against an incumbent and the incumbent would get 76%. If the incumbent is over 70% it means the challengers really had zero impact on the race and no name recognition whatsoever.

What is fascinating is how large a chunk of that natural contrary protest vote went to Wu? Granted the gender bending freak show that is Wu does naturally appear more progressive than the white male fighter pilot. Especially with the Chinese surname. I also don’t rule out Wu being the bottom name on that ballot, thus being the natural selection point for an “anybody but the incumbent” protest vote didn’t hurt. And let’s not forget that if you wanted to send a “Fuck You! Let it all burn!” message to the system, a vote for Wu would seem an ideal message.
 

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