From the CDC - https://www.cdc.gov/measles/vaccination.htmlI do not and it's definitely an interesting and important point. If you have the data, I'd love to see or read it
Before the measles vaccination program started in 1963, an estimated 3 to 4 million people got measles each year in the United States. Of these, approximately 500,000 cases were reported each year to CDC; of these, 400 to 500 died, 48,000 were hospitalized, and 1,000 developed encephalitis (brain swelling) from measles. Since then, widespread use of measles vaccine has led to a greater than 99% reduction in measles cases compared with the pre-vaccine era. However, measles is still common in other countries.
Ok let's use your numbers, go with the anti-vax DEATH chart (not infections) and measles. The measles vaccine is studied to be 93% effective. So while I can use that number, I'll use your 20% of "adverse effects" just to be fair.Though in a hypothetical 20% chance of adverse effect and 0.01% chance of death, I'm not sure I'd choose the same, but in most cases life is prefferable regardless of the chance.
- No vaccines - everyone in a given population could be infected by a highly contagious disease and require healthcare to stay alive/feel better/recover.
- Vaccines - 20% of everyone in a given population could be infected and require healthcare to stay alive/feel better/recover OR suffer adverse affects
- Given population = 8,550,405 people (New York City population as of 201-8
- Measles case-fatality rate, approx .02% (CDC 2015 report https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/pubs/pinkbook/meas.html)
- No vaccines - 1710 (.02% of NYC's current population) people could die from an epidemic that goes unchecked by immunity.
- Vaccines - 342 people could die from an epidemic kept in check by immunity. (1710081 20% of NYC's population * .02)
Measles brings the potential for other problems. Pneumonia, Encephalitis, Pregnancy problems in expectant mothers.
The labor workforce can break down. Millions of people who can't afford high medical bills would incur them because they were infected but cured and didn't die, leading to an economic problem. People would spread the disease to other high population centers and without a shield of immunity, would spread unchecked there as well.
This isn't about deaths. This is about creating a safeguard against unchecked spreading.
And I'm going to trust the CDC before I trust randos with source-less opinions on facebook and forums that claim it's a big pharma conspiracy to make money. For the good of humanity, I'll give them my money so some kid doesn't die of a preventable infection.