Depends. Theresa May had a stone bonker of a poll lead in 2017 but shat all over it by running a really stupid campaign and scoring repeated own goals. Strong and stable! Strong and stable! Strong and stable! Oh, and dementia tax, bringing back fox hunting, and similar, all of which didn't need to be broadcast during an election. If Boris doesn't do this, he might have a majority either by himself or in coalition with the Brexit Party (and a non aggression pact is strongly advised frankly.)
No way Conservatives win a majority of the votes, no way they don't win a majority of the seats. They righted the ship under Boris (more like May was weighing them down the whole time) and Brexit Party doesn't look likely to seriously contest many of their areas while the Lib Dems and Labour are still neck and neck in the polling.
I'm hoping for a pro-Brexit majority, ideally with the Conservatives dependent on Brexit Party MPs.
The north west Labour party MPs are all pretty safe but thar could begin to change. The two main blocks that keep them in power were also reasonably proBrexit.If the northern counties decide to vote Labour despite being betrayed for the urban champagne socialists we can all blame them, we already know places like London are exceptional so its up to them to stop with the generational hand me down voting.
Remainers and Opposition know they are on the backfoot here, they have to try every dirty trick in the book to win the election. Be it trying to get all EU nationals to vote (which is laughable given the rule on British Expats being time barred by 15 years) to lowering the voting age this time to 16 years old (whereby every teacher will be pressuring their students to go vote Labour and Lib-Dem).It’s a good thing they put their foot down on EU nationals who aren’t citizens voting. The salt from remainers on my timeline from that one was amazing, but it’s insanity that was even considered in the first place.
I'm always suspect of polls now. A lot of work required on the campaign trail. May walked into an election with a massive lead in polls and managed to utterly fuck herself. It will be much more accurate mid to late November.View attachment 990721
Just saw that a wee while ago, looks like more inline with what would happen if the Brexit lads don't make a showing. The only real chance I can see Labour having is if the Brexit/right wing vote gets split, outside of that then they're snookered, if this poll is any indication of things to come.
That said, look at the piss poor showing from the Libs, all that fecking bluster for a dribble of wankers.
Aye, can only reasonably bet on the Scots results coming in as they appear in polls, just ain't enough of us buggers to upset things in that sense. With England, feck only knows half the time.I'm always suspect of polls now. A lot of work required on the campaign trail. May walked into an election with a massive lead in polls and managed to utterly fuck herself. It will be much more accurate mid to late November.