Iran Explosionwatch 2020 - Iran as far as I could, but not far enough

[Glad I couldn't help]

So since June 25, there have been a number of explosions across Iran:

1. June 23: Explosion in a military complex in Parchin, 30 km southeast of Terhan
2. June 30: Explosion in a health center in Terhan, killing 19.
3. July 2: Explosion in the largest nuclear enrichment facility in Iran, located in the city of Natanz.
4. July 4: Explosion in a power plant in Ahvaz. Seperately there was a leak of Chlorine at Petrochemical pant in Mahshahr, injuring 70.
5. July 7: Explosion in an Oxygen plant, killing 2 and injuring 3.
6. July 9: Explosion reported in western Terhan; officials deny any explosions, but power was cut to the area.
7. July 11: Explosion in a residential building in Tehran, injuring 1.
8. July 12: Explosion in a petrochemical plant; officials blame "hot weather".
9. July 13: Explosion in an industrial complex in Mashad.
10. July 18: Explosion at an oil pipeline.
11. July 19: Explosion at another power plant.

It's really interesting how all these plants are just blowing themselves up .

Anyway, discuss them here, post any new reports of rapid expansion of hot gasses in Iran and post your theories.

 

[SmugAutist]

This fucking year...

 

[CivilianOfTheFandomWars]

Oh for fucks sake.

 

[nohull]

2020 is the gift that just keeps on giving.
Who the fuck opened Pandora's box?

 

[Pen Stroke]

Probably a domestic terrorist group trying to de-legitimize and eventually overthrow the regime. Could be a home-grown movement, a foreign funded operation, or a grassroots movement that is trying to gain notice and get foreign support. Very interesting.

 

[Dom Cruise]

They're not Israeli airstrikes?

 

[Jewelsmakerguy]

2020 is the gift that just keeps on giving.
Who the fuck opened Pandora's box?

China, The rest of the world may be suffering, but they're paying the ultimate price. Iran didn't help matters with their attempts to go to war back in January.

But damn, this definitely feels like this is it. I'll be amazed if we even survive the end the month, let alone the end of the year.

They're not Israeli airstrikes?

I'm pretty srue we'd know if they were if Iran threatened to cut off the heads of Isreal's leaders.

 

[Leibowitz]

This fucking year...

Iran started off 2020 with a bang or two, it's good to see them sticking with it. So many new years resolutions don't make it past January.

 

[Chilson]

Its always one of four things.

1. General incompetence. Iran is not exactly known for safety standards and a competent working force. Unlikely though due to how these explosions are highly concentrated in a short time frame.

2. Terrorism by anti-shia (basically sunni) religious extremists. Lots of terrorists groups in the middle east hate Shia Muslims (and by extension the Shia ruled Iran) more so than Christians and westerners. Again, unlikely due to 1's reasons unless it is a very large and coordinated strike which seems unlikely.

3. attacks by foreign operatives to undermine the theocratic regime. The west (US and Israel) does not like the theocracy ruling Iran, and Iran also has bad blood with ever neighboring nation and wars are not uncommon against Iran. Essentially, we either have the west (US and Israel) escalating internal pressures (for what reason, take your god damn pick for all the BS Iran does to piss off the US and Israel) or possibly an Iranian neighbor gearing up for war (very unlikely). This is pretty likely as Israel doesn't fuck around when they blow shit up, but it is odd how they would target residential buildings and hospitals that seemingly have no strategic value (coincidence maybe?).

4. an internal resistance group trying to overthrow the theocracy, probably funded/trained by the US or Israel (or both). This is the most likely one due to how highly concentrated and seemingly coordinated the attacks are.

We probably won't ever really know due to how the Iranian regime will not even say these explosions even happened and absolutely never reveal what they discovered.

 

[LMFAOForgotPw]

Wonder if the nuke plant or any other ones were stuxnet on roids. The others tho...

 

[Milkis]

Are those commies from the 70s still around? Last I heard they were chilling out in Iraq

 

[Liber Pater]

The timing of this is almost certainly not a coincidence given that it comes on the heels of recent murmurings of civil unrest, the assassination of a top military leader, and an ongoing pandemic which some suspect has hit the country far harder than the government is willing to admit.
I think we may be witnessing the buildup phase of either a slow-motion regime change attempt or potentially something even more extreme.
I don't know how long this hypothetical campaign would take before it either succeeds or fails, but US/Israel would have to move extraordinarily cautiously in light of Iran's proven ability to strike into both Israel (via proxies in Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, and West Bank) and Saudi Arabia (via proxies in Yemen). The latter vulnerability should be especially concerning for US/Israel, given the success of Iran's recent attack on Saudi oil production.
Steps would have to be taken to limit Iran's retaliatory capabilities long before any kind of egregious provocation.
Thus, I always become a bit concerned whenever I see anything suspicious (like these mystery explosions) that seem(s) like (a) potential "preparatory step(s)."

 

[who dare wins?]

well, considering timing and also where we are at currently, this is definitely something along the lines of a possible regime overthrow/homegrown terrorists funded and trained by Israel. Mossad have been known for having agents in the highest echelons of the ayatollahs government (same goes for America), so it is likely it might be a operation by them. or it might be a group of dudes who got fucked over by the government, organised and decided to get some payback. likely we won't know for a very long time or even at all

 

[pwnest injun]

I'm just hoping that it's an inside job where nuclear scientists in Iran have come to realize that the Iranian government can't be trusted with nuclear armaments.

 

[Jimmy Durante's Ballsack]

Ever since Qassem Soleimani got hit by that Ginsu missile, Iran's ambitions have gone down the toilet. Even the Iraqis are pushing back against them.

 

[Aaa0aaa0]

I'm just hoping that it's an inside job where nuclear scientists in Iran have come to realize that the Iranian government can't be trusted with nuclear armaments.

Man, imagine being that hypothetical scientist who realizes he has to destroy his own government because they're pure evil. What an awful fate.

Also op you spelled bored as "borded" for the corona chan option.

 

[Exterminatus]

Are those commies from the 70s still around? Last I heard they were chilling out in Iraq

I'm assuming you mean MEK? Yeah they're still around, they're actually not in Iraq anymore, they moved to Albania. Some speculate that it could be them but I believe they've publicly denied being involved, Others seem to think it's likely a joint attack led by Israel and the US, using proxies, much like Iran does when they're doing gayops in the Middle East.

 

[Glad I couldn't help]

New York Magazine theorizes how Israel is collaborating with disaffected elements in Iran. It notes how Iran is on shaking ground, given that its biggest general its foriegn operations was killed in January and it has absolutely ravaged by the coronavirus since then. It probably doesn't have the means to counteraction (IIRC, the Mossad actually downgraded the thread posed by Iran in March, given what the virus has done to the country). Meanwhile, the Israelis can see the polling in the 2020 US Presidential election and see that there's a very good chance Joe Biden will win, so they doing as much as they can while they still have a carte banche from the White House.

 

[Chilson]

New York Magazine theorizes how Israel is collaborating with disaffected elements in Iran. It notes how Iran is on shaking ground, given that its biggest general its foriegn operations was killed in January and it has absolutely ravaged by the coronavirus since then. It probably doesn't have the means to counteraction (IIRC, the Mossad actually downgraded the thread posed by Iran in March, given what the virus has done to the country). Meanwhile, the Israelis can see the polling in the 2020 US Presidential election and see that there's a very good chance Joe Biden will win, so they doing as much as they can while they still have a carte banche from the White House.

Pfft. As if polls mean anything as they were so accurate during the 2016 election and Mossad does not give any actual fuck about them. Also, da fuck are you talking about??? Biden would do dick all to actually interfere with Mossad. If anything he would bend over harder than Trump for them.

 

[Jimmy Durante's Ballsack]

Pfft. As if polls mean anything as they were so accurate during the 2016 election and Mossad does not give any actual fuck about them. Also, da fuck are you talking about??? Biden would do dick all to actually interfere with Mossad. If anything he would bend over harder than Trump for them.

Maybe, but then again Joe Biden won't be making any decisions when he becomes President. And why would the war hawks in the uniparty establishment let Israel have all the fun? The troops would be going right back in to make up for lost time, as they see it.