Give me asspats, I stole an exceptional individual's garbage
Tactical triumph does not guarantee final victory, especially when the geopolitics of the region are not favorable to you. Look at British campaigns during the American Revolutionary War.Black Sonichu said:The part of the war I find most peculiar is the fact that US forces won most engagements with the NVA and Vietcong, and still lost in the end. While the losses on the NVA/VC side were many times greater than the US/South Vietnamese side, the communist forces never quit. It was a war of attrition, and apparently the communists were willing to throw far more troops away than the American and South Vietnamese forces were.
Kim Jong Un and his hardline generals aren't looking for more than modest economic reform, because they know that China-modeled economic reforms in North Korea would induce internal instability. Jang-Sung-Taek was the main proponent of economic reform, and believed that it was a necessary risk to save North Korea. And he ended up getting killed for that belief, and his attendant power-play. And yes, part of the reason North Korea hasn't collapsed is because China is propping them up, politically, and in other ways.Black Sonichu said:Kim Jong Un has been looking at China as a model to emulate for North Korea's economy. Personally, I think it's a miracle that country hasn't collapsed. Or perhaps it's because Kim's only ally, China, is helping out a lot to maintain a buffer zone with the democratic South.
North Korea cannot reunify the Korean peninsula by using force. It's tactically impossible for them to do so. What they could do is devastate South Korea. Of course, then we would retaliate against the North in kind.Black Sonichu said:Another thing to look out for is that North Korea has nuclear weapons now, but it is unknown what the strength of their warheads may be, or the capability of their missiles to accurately deliver such a payload at an effective range. They have all the conventional artillery they need to take the southern half of the peninsula, and North Korean forces are believed to own some stockpiles of chemical and biological agents as well.
China doesn't want United States troops, or United States allied troops, on its border. North Korea is just a buffer zone from the Chinese point of view. The Pyongyang regime isn't trying to invade and conquer the South right now. It's just trying to survive.Black Sonichu said:Of course, the irony of North Korea being propped up by China is in the fact that it's in China's best interest to keep the peninsula divided, so no matter how much Pyongyang wishes it, China will not allow the South to be invaded and annexed.
The geopolitical situation in Korea is a time bomb. Conflict is inevitable, and it may come sooner than you think.Black Sonichu said:While a second war in Korea is a possibility, it is also somewhat unlikely at this given time. Actually, come to think of it, the Korean War never officially ended, there's simply a cease fire at the moment.
When you're standing there, looking out across the DMZ into the dark forests and misty valleys of North Korea, it's as if you're a world away from the bright lights and busy streets of Seoul. Something big is coming, and nobody knows exactly when.