Well this thread is suddenly more relevant.
God, I hope millennial and Gen Z commies try to start revolutions, so they can get the beatings their parents were too chickenshit to hand out.
Betting markets, from what I’ve heard, are way better at predicting trends than most other methods.
I still don't think it will be hyper prolonged, if we're just dealing with fallout from the coronavirus. Life has changed from depression times and we're likely to rebound more quickly.I hope you're right.
It will be part of it though. Banks are going to be seeing billions of dollars in terms of interest rates as even though people don't have to pay for their mortgages right now, interest rates still go up. Also, Where I live, any money the government helps you with has to be paid back, luckily with no interest. That means that all that time you're not working you lost thousands of dollars due to government, corporate bullshit all so that they can make more money off of you.I don't think corona chan will be the big destroyer econodoomers hope it is, tbh.
If those were the results back then, it sure is a pretty dramatic reversal in this short time.
I still have not forgotten that Vegas fucked up in 2016 either; Sometimes betting markets just go full exceptional individual in their predictions and end up completely wrong.Yeah but I'm still a bit surprised just how lopsided it is now, since a lot of people seem to think the worst of the economic consequences have already passed.
I keep seeing a lot of "It'S aLrEaDy PrIcEd In" and such.
True, but a lot of these betting markets often use straw polls as part of their calculations, and right up until the end of October 2016, everyone thought Hillary was the likely winner and everyone had predicted since before 2015 that Hillary would likely succeed Obama and that Jeb Bush was the most likely Republican candidate.I still have not forgotten that Vegas fucked up in 2016 either; Sometimes betting markets just go full exceptional individual in their predictions and end up completely wrong.
I heard the Democrats plan to somehow try and make the coronapanic last until November so people will use tamper-friendly mail-in ballots, so Biden will be a shoe-in. I don't know how plausible that theory is though.Either way, it's going to be a close fucking election and it will all come down to who can get more turnout and just how bad this pandemic will get by November.
I honestly can't see Biden winning regardless, especially when Trump gets done with him during the debates, but from what I've read his likely VP pick is Kamala Harris, and I literally cannot think of a VP that would suppress Democratic voter turnout more,(Other than Mini-Mike Bloomberg, that is)than the woman who made it her personal mission in life to imprison black people for as long as possible regardless of the crime.I still think Trump is more likely to win 2020 than Biden right now, but it will be a lot more close thanks to the pandemic and if Biden gets a VP that isn't completely toxic and flips enough of the big swing states like Ohio, Florida, and Michigan, he could win in 2020.