The thing with all models is garbage in garbage oit. We know very little about this virus, we haven’t tested who had and had it on a wide enough scale to know how it’s spreading. All the models - all of them, are guesses.I wish I'd gone ahead and taken statistics as an elective in college. I keep reading reports saying that the infection/mortality rates are overpredictions and others keeping with the exponential growth/future peak predictions and I can't tell which are more legitimate.
It’s because of the initial infection demographic l think. In the uk it’s middle class people jetting off for ski breaks, and people who move about and are connected- prince wotsit of Monaco May have infected Prince Charles. It’s spread initially by people who travel, and that is not the poor. When it gets to the poor, or society at large, you’ll see a more accurate spread of ages I think.Hardest hit age ranges are 18-40 and 40-65. I am not surprised because in this country there are a lot of unhealthy very obese people, and if you live past 65, the curve is in your favor for living a lot longer.